News on May 18, Australia’s April employment report was unexpectedly poor, with the unemployment rate rising to 3.7% from 3.5% in March.
Citi economist Faraz Syed said that while a month does not represent a trend, it does give the RBA the option to pause rate hikes in June and July. Still, hawkish risks around wages and inflation remain. As a result, Citi still expects the RBA to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points, but the timing of the hike will be delayed from June to August.