The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in July is 81.8%

June 29th, according to CME “Fed Watch”: The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at 5.00%-5.25% in July is 18.2%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 5.25%-5.50% is 81.8%; The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 11.7%, the probability of accumulatively raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 58.6%, and the probability of accumulatively raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 26.5%.